Dr Kesten Green
|Division/Portfolio:||University of South Australia Business School|
|School/Unit:||School of Commerce|
|Campus:||City West Campus|
|Telephone:||+61 8 830 29097|
|Fax:||+61 8 830 20709|
|URL for Business Card:||http://people.unisa.edu.au/Kesten.Green|
|(Kesten Green is currently on leave - last day on leave is Wednesday, 24 December 2014)|
- Managerial economics
- Forecasting methods
|BUSS 5248||Managerial Economics|
International Institute of Forecasters (IIF)
International Association for Conflict Management (IACM)
Society for Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM)
Decision Analysis Society
Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS)
- evidence-based forecasting methods
- survey research methods
- forecasting decisions; the effects of role, interaction, and conflict on decision making; forecasting for negotiations and strategy in business and warfare
- judgmental forecasting methods; the use of analogies in forecasting
- forecasting for public policy
Armstrong, J. S. & Green, K. C. (2013). Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies: Conclusions from evidence-based research. Journal of Business Research, 66, 1922–1927.
Armstrong, J. S., & Green, K. C. (2013). Global climate models and their limitations: Model simulation and forecasting - Methods and principles. pp. 14-17 in Idso, C. D., Carter, R. M., & Singer, S. F. (Eds.), Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science. Chicago, IL: The Heartland Institute.
Graefe, A., Green, K. C. & Armstrong, J. S. (2013). Forecasting. pp. 593-604 in Gass, S. I. & Fu, M. C. (Eds.), Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science (3rd Edition). New York: Springer.
Green, K. C. & Armstrong, J. S. (2012). Evidence on the Effects of Mandatory Disclaimers in Advertising. Journal of Public Policy and Marketing, 293-304. [With commentary, 305-324]
Armstrong, J. S. & Green, K. C. (2012). Should we put a price on free speech? Journal of Public Policy and Marketing, 325. [Reply to commentators]
Green, K. C. & Armstrong, J. S. (2012). Have the courts protected free speech for business people? JPP&M Internet Appendix.
Armstrong, J. S., Green, K. C., & Soon, W. (2011). Research on forecasting for the manmade global warming alarm. Energy and Environment, 22, 1091-1104. [Testimony to U.S. House Committee on Science, Space, and Technology]
Green, K. C., Graefe, A. & Armstrong, J. S. (2011). Forecasting principles. Part 6, 527-534 in Lovric, M. (ed.), International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science. Springer.
Green, K. C. & Armstrong, J. S. (2011). Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts. International Journal of Forecasting, 27, 69-80.
Armstrong, J. S., Green, K. C., Jones, R., & Wright, M. (2010). Predicting elections from politicians’ faces. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 22, 511-522.
Green, K. C., Armstrong, J. S., & Soon, W. (2009). Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making. International Journal of Forecasting, 25, 826-832.
Armstrong, J. S., Green, K. C., & Soon, W. (2008). Polar bear population forecasts: A public-policy forecasting audit. Interfaces (with commentary), 38, 382-404.
Green, K. C. & Armstrong, J. S. (2007). Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts. Energy and Environment, 18, 997-1021.
Green, K. C. & Armstrong, J. S. (2007). Structured analogies for forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 23, 365-376.
Green, K. C. & Armstrong, J. S. (2007). The value of expertise for forecasting decisions in conflicts. Interfaces, 37, 287-299.
Armstrong, J. S. & Green, K. C. (2007). Competitor-oriented objectives: The myth of market share. International Journal of Business, 12 (1), 117-136.
Green, K. C. (2005). Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence. International Journal of Forecasting, 21, 463-472.
Green, K. C. (2002). Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement. International Journal of Forecasting, 18, 321-344.
I am able to provide media comment in the following areas of expertise:
- Forecasting for decision making
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